10
Jun

Betting Strategies Based on Mathematics and Statistics

They are plenty of books and websites which try to prove an optimal roulette betting strategy. Most of them try to convince their customers with very long and complex calculations or argumentations. Unfortunately, there is no safe system for a gambler to break the bank in an ideal roulette. This fact has been proven by different mathematicians. Therefore every single of the so-called safe betting strategies fails because of the long-term house edge. But there are different systems which can minimize the losses of the gamblers.

Although there is no mathematical explanation, many gamblers believe that they have periods when they win and when they lose. Therefore some strategies are built on recognizing patterns and gambling psychology. For example, most gamblers continue playing if they were very close to a great profit. It is important every roulette player to know his personal limits otherwise he will run out of money rapidly. There is one strategy which could provide a long-term profit for a player under the condition that he has unlimited resources. All of them are variations of the famous Martingale betting system. The basic principle of this system is to concentrate on the safest bedding. The moment the player loses, he doubles the bet in the next coup. By this system it is guaranteed that the moment the player wins, he got all his bets plus one chip extra. There are two problems with this strategy. The resources of the player need to be unlimited since his betting increases exponentially. In an extreme case the player must make an incredible high bet with the risk of losing all money for a minimum win. The second problem is the table maximum at the casinos. The table maximum is usually 1200 times the table minimum. According to the exponential increase of the player’s bets, he has only 10 tries until he wins, otherwise he loses an extreme amount of money. Although the strategy sounds promising, there is no way to beat the long term house edge according to the zeros on the wheel.

Betting Strategies Based on Mechanics and Physics

There are certain strategies to break the bank of a casino because the roulette wheel is not perfect. A very experienced gambler can predict the result of a roulette coup by looking at the croupier’s hand at the time the ball leaves his hand. The basic idea is that the croupier will start the game more or less mechanically. Therefore, the result of the coup can be predicted. Although there were a few cases in history of gambling that a single player was able to win by a mechanical strategy, these strategies are more or less impossible with modern roulette tables. All casinos monitor the performance of their wheels and readjust them if necessary.

In 2004, was reported a group of gamblers who tried to predict segment where the ball will finally drop by a combination of a laser and computer. The casino identified the group and they were arrested. The group was released from prison without charges. If a player is identified by a casino to be a cheater within the definition of the casino, the casinos are trying to sue him in any possible way, since the losses of the player are profit of the casino.

Casino Strategies to Prevent Players From Winning

During the last 150 years of roulette gambling, almost every casino has invented counter strategies to prevent players from cheating and winning against the house. Nowadays all roulette tables are under strict and permanent video surveillance. All chosen numbers are recorded constantly, so that it is practical impossible to find a roulette wheel that is working in player’s favour. In addition, the modern production methods for roulette wheels are highly sophisticated. Even if there are small changes in the odds, these changes can be completely neglected in comparison with the 2.7 or 5.3% house edge. After some negative experiences with sophisticated gamblers, all casinos decreased the height of the wall between the pockets. This is a very easy but successful method since the ball can jump easily between different pockets. Most casinos use sets of balls that differ slightly in size and weight. Without a direct comparison, these differences are not detectable by the player but they influence the final pocket of the ball drastically. All roulette players are under video surveillance during their play. If a casino thinks that one or a group of players are successful with estimating the final pocket by looking at the croupier, it can change the croupier or give him the order to close the table for bets earlier.
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